“The 1930s and the 2000s: Government Barriers to Growth” — John Tamny

This speech was present at the Jonathan Club in Los Angeles in December of 2011.

He posits that economies need only four things from government to grow and prosper:

  • Light taxation
  • Little to no regulation
  • The ability to trade freely without regard to country borders
  • A stable unit of account

With these requirements in mind, he  reviews the Great Depression and WWII, the 2008 Financial Crisis, and then comments about the Present and the Future.

He concludes with a quote from John Stuart Mill:  “The only insecurity which is altogether paralyzing to the active energies of producers, is that arising from the government, or from person vested with its authority.  Against all other depredators there is a hope of defending oneself.”

I think you will enjoy reading this.

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The Parable of the Broken Traffic Lights, Steve Horwitz

This article comes recommended by Cafe Hayek (www.cafehayek.com) a great daily source for Austrian economic ideas.  It is published on www.thefreemanonline.org, another terrifice resource for economic education.

 

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Tamny on Trade Deficits with China: “Quite Beautiful”

Tamny’s article weighs in with simple explanations of why trade deficits don’t matter. Rather, they are at minimum a meaningless abstract, and perhaps even a good thing.  Key points,

  1. Fundamentally, countries do not trade, people do.  And as individuals, trade balances by definition.
  2. We run deficits and surpluses every day in our relationships with companies, large and small.  We run trade surpluses with our employer, and trade deficits with the local dry cleaner and Safeway.
  3. Foreign investment into domestic companies don’t count as part of the trade balance statistics.  Thus, US investment in Chinese companies (Capital Surplus) don’t show up in the balance figures, only the imports of Chinese goods, contributing to a US “trade deficit.”
  4. “Just as American human capital became too valuable to waste on factory jobs, the same is now occuring in China.”

Along with two previous articles by Donald Boudreaux (Deficit I, Deficit II) good primers on the meaningless nature of balance of trade figures.  The problem is these figures are used by pols to manipulate the citizenry with a form of economic jingoism.

 

 

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“California’s Best Days Are Ahead of It” –John Tamny

Vintage John Tamny from a speech delivered in Southern California.

Key Points:

Human talent is what drives advancement and California will continue to thrive because it still has the best people within its borders.

Periods of a strong dollar drive capital to the innovative concepts of the mind. To the contrary a period of a weak dollar drives investment on the margins to hard assets, like land, oil and gold, i.e., into wealth that already exists.

Oil is a great example–it is expensive only insofar as the dollar is cheap. If you look at the price of gold relative to the number of barrels of oil it will purchase, you see an interesting phenomenon.

  •                       1 oz of Gold                               # Barrels of Oil
  • 1971                 $35                                               15
  • 1981                $480                                             15
  • 2011                $1500                                           15
  • 2012                $1700                                           16

A strong dollar will more appropriately move investment back into innovations, the assets of the mind.  With such investments, come profits, growth, and productive private sector jobs.

Unfortunately, neither the Bush administration, the Obama administration, nor the current crop  of GOP presidential contenders are showing any public or private proclivity to make the strong dollar a central theme.

 

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“The Use of Knowledge in Society,” by Friedrich Hayek

This classic piece is available to us courtesy of the Library of Economics and Liberty.  It is foundational knowledge to anyone who is interested in economics.

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Three Years After the Bailouts, A Weaker Banking System, by John Tamny

Tamny’s article makes some interesting points:

1.  Germany and Japan emerged faster from the destruction of their factories and businesses, as well as their ablest young men, than we are from the current recession.

2.  At the time of the meltdown of our banking system, 80% of business lending in this country took place outside the banking system.

3.  The purpose of a recession is to cleanse the economy of bad business models and improper investments.  When Govt interferes, it slows the recovery.

4.  “In truth, once an institution is the recipient of government largesse, that business is no longer in the business of profit.  Instead, for taking government money it serves political masters with no regard for profits…”

In an effort to save our banking system, Govt continues to promote anemia in them.  At best, it saves the ‘bankers’ at the expense of the banking system, and ultimately the customers served by them.

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Arnold Kling

Arnold Kling is a member of the financial markets working group at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University.

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The Soothsayers of Macroeconometrics, by Arnold Kling

This article mirrors my thoughts about macroeconomics as a voodoo science.

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“The Tax System Explained in Beer”

Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100…

If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this…

The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.

The fifth would pay $1.

The sixth would pay $3.

The seventh would pay $7.

The eighth would pay $12.

The ninth would pay $18.

The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.

So, that’s what they decided to do.

The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve ball. “Since you are all such good customers,” he said, “I’m going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20″. Drinks for the ten men would now cost just $80.

The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes. So the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free. But what about the other six men ? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his fair share?

They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody’s share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer.

So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man’s bill by a higher percentage the poorer he was, to follow the principle of the tax system they had been using, and he proceeded to work out the amounts he suggested that each should now pay.

And so the fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% saving).

The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33% saving).

The seventh now paid $5 instead of $7 (28% saving).

The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% saving).

The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% saving).

The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% saving).

Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But, once outside the bar, the men began to compare their savings.

“I only got a dollar out of the $20 saving,” declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man,”but he got $10!”

“Yeah, that’s right,” exclaimed the fifth man. “I only saved a dollar too. It’s unfair that he got ten times more benefit than me!”

“That’s true!” shouted the seventh man. “Why should he get $10 back, when I got only $2? The wealthy get all the breaks!”

“Wait a minute,” yelled the first four men in unison, “we didn’t get anything at all. This new tax system exploits the poor!”

The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.

The next night the tenth man didn’t show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had their beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn’t have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

And that, boys and girls, journalists and government officials, is how our tax system works. The people who already pay the highest taxes will naturally get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas, where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

—The authorship of this piece has been attributed to various members of academia over the last 10 years as it has worked its way virally over the internet.  According to snopes.com, it was likely submitted to the Chicago Tribune in 2001 and printed in the letters column, without attribution.

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FDA–Safe and Effective?

Here’s my question:  If the FDA had to go through a “clinical trial” to prove that it was safe and effective, would it be able to demonstrate either?

Could it show that the lives saved by its regulatory activities , when compared to lives lost because drugs and devices were delayed or denied, yielded a demonstrably positive result for its actions?

Could it demonstrate that the pain and suffering of patients due to ineffective or injurious drugs and devices avoided or eliminated by its enforcement actions was greater than the pain and suffering of patients due to therapies delayed, denied, or withdrawn from the market?

Vioxx was withdrawn from the market by FDA enforcement action, after it was determined that the side effects were too great, and yet the 95% that experienced no such side effects have been denied a drug that was a godsend for pain management.

I’d like to see the FDA subject to an “environmental impact report” in which it must demonstrate its value to continue its existence.

For more information about the FDA, its history, its effectiveness, and some viable free market reform options you are welcome to go to www.fdareview.org.

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